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Race 4 4YO & UP MAIDEN HCP (1600m)
Now the older maidens go over a mile, and it shapes well for honest and fit 3. Different Road who can peak finally getting out over this trip. Has been working home well from generally the second half of the field, and gets a soft run here from the inside barrier just off the speed.
Dangers: Emerging metro mare 2. Aquatica is the clear threat, and likely headed for better races. Did her best work late here into a place over the same trip eight days ago, and the quick turnaround is a strong sign she’s done well since. Keep safe 6. Himeros having his first run for the new Hawkesbury stable with weight relief off a seven-week break, while 8. Oakfield Zena is the best of the rest deep into her prep, with blinkers coming off.
How to play it: Different Road to win.
Race 5 MIDWAY BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1000m)
A distance drop of 100m from tougher metro company, and in likely soft ground, are keys to provincial mare 4. Everyone’s A Star landing her second win in three starts. Finished best from midfield to claim a class 1 at Wyong just before Christmas, then tackled Midway BM 72 grade at Randwick when not having the best of runs from a tricky draw. Much better off back in this line-up, and draws to get a cosy run just off the speed.
Dangers: Keep watch on 6. Orthie’s Girls who can improve sharply third-up from a soft draw, while both 5. River Frost, who progresses off a third-up CL1 win, and 9. Spirit Of Varanasi second-up with weight relief, are capable of running into the money.
How to play it: Everyone’s A Star to win.
Race 6 PROVINCIAL MAIDEN PLATE (1200m)
Improving mare 8. Ausbred Mimosa is well placed here third-up coming back from a metro maiden. Hit the line well at Warwick Farm two starts back before running home only fairly at Canterbury, although it was tough to make up a lot of ground that day. The extra 100m and a lower draw should allow her to settle a bit closer, and while untried on rain-affected ground, she’s bred to handle it.
Dangers: Honest 10. Layin’ Four can run a race fourth-up, so too 3. Hellinda who draws off the track but comes through a handy provincial race, and a much more senior and stronger jockey takes over. Include 1. Maximum Ride at his third start on an eight-day back-up in exotic bets.
How to play it: Ausbred Mimosa to win.
Race 7 COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1200m)
Any number of chances in this sprint, especially if there’s a soft track pattern in play well into the card. Leaning that way with tough four-year-old 4. Sir Artie who has been up for a while, but in and around the money, including a dominant class 1 provincial win two starts ago when surging home from midfield. Has been freshened up since doing it tough from the gate under 60.5kg on Boxing Day, and can bounce straight back here with some weight relief and coming back 150m in distance.
Dangers: From an ideally trailing draw, 12. Pennypacker is an immediate threat fourth-up. Worked home OK last start in a similar graded field despite coming through a slower part of the track, and the gear change is a show of confidence. Deep into the prep, 11. Grand Crusader is an each-way chance drawn low off a six-week break and back from deeper metro opposition, while 2. Oakfield Mahogany can run into the money fourth-up, and also down from deeper city opposition.
How to play it: Sir Artie to win.
Race 8 FILLIES & MARES BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1200m)
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The girls’ edition to close the card is just as open, although stacks up well for tough metro mare 2. Flying Shelly second-up off a lengthy break. Got through the line well from just off the speed when resuming at Wyong, and she nearly always improves at this point of the campaign. Has a liking for soft tracks, and is drawn to get to the outside.
Dangers: Plenty of them, starting with 4. Missouk who disappointed here second-up but already has plenty of experience around this course, and is comfortable on soft ground. Watch the betting on resuming country filly 10. Leggy Point who draws wide but has trialled well and normally fires early in the prep. Include 5. Tidal Impact third-up, 7. Our Lady Stardust peaking fourth-up, and emerging filly 8. Disney Castle who comes through a deeper city race and preferred here to the Kensington meeting on Wednesday, in all trifecta and first four plays.
How to play it: Flying Shelly to win.
BEST BETS: R2 8. MERCHANT LADY, R5 4. EVERYONE’S A STAR
BEST VALUE: R8 2. FLYING SHELLY
Supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au
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