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Bills vs. Dolphins line, odds, predictions: Our experts pick Miami to beat Buffalo to win the AFC East

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Can the Buffalo Bills complete their comeback? Will the Miami Dolphins finally answer the lingering questions about their résumé in the season finale? We’ll know the answers after the two teams face off Sunday night in what amounts to the AFC East title game. The Bills are favorites to win on the road.

The game will kick off at 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. NBC will broadcast the game.

The Bills (10-6) are likely to make the playoffs, with an 82 percent chance, according to Austin Mock’s projections. That wasn’t always the case. They sat at 6-6 at the start of December but have since won four straight. Buffalo won at Kansas City, decimated the visiting Cowboys and took care of business against the Chargers and Patriots.

Bills quarterback Josh Allen has found the end zone more with his legs than his arm recently. He has rushed for eight scores in the last five games. During the same span, his touchdown-to-interception ratio slipped to 5-to-4.

Buffalo’s defense has done enough to keep opponents at bay. It sits in the top 10 in passing defense, scoring defense and total defense. It’s the middle-of-the-road rushing defense that could be a problem against the Dolphins. If Raheem Mostert (knee/ankle) returns to the field for the Dolphins, the Bills will have their hands full with him while also dealing with NFL passing yards leader Tua Tagovailoa.

The Dolphins (11-5) are playoff-bound, but questions linger about their quality once they get there. Only once has Miami defeated a team that had a winning record when it faced them, and that was in  Week 16 against the Cowboys.

Miami’s top-10 rushing defense could make Buffalo running back James Cook a non-factor and force the Bills to win through the air, which hasn’t been their strength in the four recent wins. Still, Bradley Chubb’s absence will certainly impact both aspects of the Dolphins’ defense. Chubb tore his ACL late in their Week 17 loss to the Ravens.

All odds from BetMGM. Looking for NFL tickets? Buy them here.

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(Photo ofTua Tagovailoa:Michael Owens/Getty Images)



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